Match Winner leads at 76%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 76% | +32% | $16K |
| 2 | Game 3 Winner | 66% | +50% | - |
| 3 | O/U 3.5 Games | 66% | +50% | $19 |
| 4 | Game 2 Winner | 66% | +52% | - |
| 5 | Game 1 Winner | 64% | +55% | $76 |
| 6 | Game 4 Winner | 60% | +65% | - |
| 7 | Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5) | 58% | +71% | $3K |
| 8 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 55% | +83% | $2 |
| 9 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 52% | +92% | $2 |
| 10 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? | 52% | +92% | $2 |
| 11 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 52% | +94% | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 52% | +94% | - |
| 13 | Any Player Penta Kill | 52% | +94% | - |
| 14 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 51% | +96% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 51% | +96% | - |
| 16 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4? | 51% | +96% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon BEST VALUE | 50% | +98% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +98% | - |
| 19 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +98% | - |
| 20 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +98% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between G2 Esports and LYON in the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 10 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs will occur, with $21K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 76%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $21K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-10. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 08, 2026 at 20:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 76% probability, with $21K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms