Game 3 Winner leads at 83%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 3 Winner | 83% | +20% | $1K |
| 2 | Game 2 Winner | 82% | +23% | $2K |
| 3 | Match Winner | 80% | +24% | $9K |
| 4 | Game 1 Winner | 74% | +36% | $828 |
| 5 | Game 4 Winner | 70% | +44% | - |
| 6 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +98% | - |
| 7 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL Semifinal 2 match between Galions and Movistar KOI Fénix in the EMEA Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Galions vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs will occur, with $17K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Game 3 Winner at 83%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-14. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 13, 2026 at 11:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Game 3 Winner at 83% probability, with $17K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms