The market strongly favors Match Winner at 90%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 90% | +12% | $36K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 82% | +21% | $3K |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 82% | +23% | $47 |
| 4 | Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5) | 70% | +42% | $4K |
| 5 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? | 60% | +68% | - |
| 6 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? | 60% | +68% | - |
| 7 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +98% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +98% | - |
| 9 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +98% | - |
| 10 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor BEST VALUE | 50% | +102% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +102% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +102% | - |
| 19 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +102% | - |
| 20 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +102% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL Round 3 match between Gen.G and LYON in the Worlds Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage will occur, with $45K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Match Winner is priced at 90%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $46K traded in the last 24 hours alone (102% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-26. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 25, 2026 at 04:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 90% probability, with $45K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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