The market strongly favors First Blood in Game 1? at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
High Volume — $3.2M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | First Blood in Game 1? | 100% | - | $79 |
| 2 | First Blood in Game 4? | 100% | - | $10 |
| 3 | First Blood in Game 3? | 100% | - | $10 |
| 4 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4? | 100% | - | $10 |
| 5 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3? | 100% | - | $10 |
| 6 | Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 4? | 100% | - | $10 |
| 7 | Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 3? | 100% | - | $10 |
| 8 | Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 4? | 100% | - | $60 |
| 9 | Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 3? | 100% | - | $10 |
| 10 | Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 4? | 100% | - | $10 |
| 11 | Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 3? | 100% | - | $10 |
| 12 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 100% | - | $60 |
| 13 | Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2? | 100% | - | $60 |
| 14 | Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2? | 100% | - | $60 |
| 15 | Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2? | 100% | - | $60 |
| 16 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? | 100% | - | $60 |
| 17 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4? | 100% | - | $60 |
| 18 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? | 100% | - | $60 |
| 19 | Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 2? | 100% | - | $60 |
| 20 | Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 4? | 100% | - | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between JD Gaming and ThunderTalk Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 29 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to...
As of May 30, 2026 at 11:15 UTC, the leading outcome is First Blood in Game 1? at 100% probability, with $3.2M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $3.2M, with $14K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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