The market strongly favors Match Winner at 90%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 90% | +12% | $11K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 76% | +32% | $70 |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 76% | +32% | - |
| 4 | Game 3 Winner | 76% | +32% | - |
| 5 | Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) | 76% | +32% | - |
| 6 | Game 4 Winner | 63% | +59% | $88 |
| 7 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 62% | +60% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 62% | +60% | - |
| 9 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 62% | +60% | - |
| 10 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 62% | +63% | - |
| 11 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 61% | +64% | - |
| 12 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 54% | +87% | - |
| 13 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 54% | +87% | - |
| 14 | O/U 3.5 Games | 52% | +90% | $2K |
| 15 | Any Player Penta Kill | 52% | +92% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 51% | +96% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 51% | +96% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors BEST VALUE | 50% | +98% | - |
| 19 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +98% | - |
| 20 | First Blood in Game 4? | 50% | +98% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Karmine Corp and GIANTX in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve t...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs will occur, with $14K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Match Winner is priced at 90%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours alone (89% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-05. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 04, 2026 at 19:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 90% probability, with $14K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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