The market strongly favors Game 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
High Volume — $2.6M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 1 Winner | 100% | +0% | $1.1M |
| 2 | Game 2 Winner | 100% | +0% | $630K |
| 3 | Match Winner | 100% | +0% | $867K |
| 4 | Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5) | 100% | +0% | $36K |
| 5 | First Blood in Game 2? | 100% | +0% | $15 |
| 6 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 100% | +0% | $260 |
| 7 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 100% | +0% | $22 |
| 8 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 100% | +0% | $15 |
| 9 | Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? | 100% | +0% | $25 |
| 10 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 100% | +0% | $25 |
| 11 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 90% | +10% | - |
| 12 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 90% | +10% | - |
| 13 | Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? | 90% | +10% | $20 |
| 14 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Any Player Quadra Kill BEST VALUE | 10% | +900% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between Karmine Corp and Sentinels in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 16 at 7:20AM ET. This market will resolve to...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B will occur, with $2.6M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Game 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $2.6M traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-16. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 16, 2026 at 13:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Game 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $2.6M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $2.6M, with $2.6M traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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