The market strongly favors Match Winner at 88%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 88% | +14% | $3K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 78% | +27% | $19 |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 78% | +27% | $67 |
| 4 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? | 70% | +44% | - |
| 5 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? | 67% | +49% | - |
| 6 | Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5) | 66% | +50% | $13K |
| 7 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 62% | +60% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 62% | +60% | - |
| 9 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 60% | +65% | - |
| 10 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 57% | +74% | $2K |
| 11 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 54% | +87% | - |
| 12 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 53% | +89% | $89 |
| 13 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 52% | +92% | - |
| 14 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 51% | +96% | - |
| 15 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | First Blood in Game 2? | 50% | +102% | - |
| 20 | First Blood in Game 1? BEST VALUE | 48% | +106% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL match between Karmine Corp and SK Gaming in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Karmine Corp vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season will occur, with $20K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Match Winner is priced at 88%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $20K traded in the last 24 hours alone (97% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-29. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 29, 2026 at 10:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 88% probability, with $20K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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