Market is split — Any Player Quadra Kill at 54%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 54% | +87% | - |
| 2 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 53% | +89% | - |
| 3 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 52% | +90% | - |
| 4 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | O/U 2.5 Games | 48% | +111% | $770 |
| 19 | Game 2 Winner | 46% | +120% | $350 |
| 20 | Game 1 Winner BEST VALUE | 44% | +125% | $544 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL match between KT Rolster Challengers and Nongshim Esports Academy in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group, initially scheduled for August 13 at 1:00AM ET...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group will occur, with $25K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with Any Player Quadra Kill leading at just 54%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $24K traded in the last 24 hours alone (95% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-13. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 13, 2026 at 04:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Any Player Quadra Kill at 54% probability, with $25K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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