Match Winner leads at 78%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 78% | +27% | $10K |
| 2 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 70% | +44% | - |
| 3 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 70% | +44% | - |
| 4 | Game 1 Winner | 68% | +48% | $272 |
| 5 | Game 2 Winner | 68% | +48% | $135 |
| 6 | Game 3 Winner | 68% | +48% | - |
| 7 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 64% | +55% | - |
| 8 | O/U 3.5 Games | 64% | +57% | $630 |
| 9 | Game 4 Winner | 62% | +60% | $168 |
| 10 | Game Handicap: LLL (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5) | 62% | +63% | $24K |
| 11 | First Blood in Game 1? | 59% | +69% | - |
| 12 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? | 58% | +72% | $365 |
| 13 | First Blood in Game 3? | 57% | +74% | - |
| 14 | First Blood in Game 2? | 57% | +74% | - |
| 15 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3? | 57% | +74% | - |
| 16 | First Blood in Game 4? | 52% | +90% | - |
| 17 | Any Player Penta Kill | 52% | +92% | - |
| 18 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 52% | +94% | - |
| 19 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +98% | - |
| 20 | Any Player Quadra Kill BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL Upper Bracket Semifinals 1 match between LOUD and paiN Gaming in the CBLOL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs will occur, with $45K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 78%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $43K traded in the last 24 hours alone (94% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-13. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 13, 2026 at 12:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 78% probability, with $45K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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