The market strongly favors Match Winner at 92%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 92% | +8% | $10K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 86% | +17% | $214 |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 85% | +18% | - |
| 4 | Game 3 Winner | 84% | +18% | - |
| 5 | Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (+1.5) | 76% | +31% | - |
| 6 | Game Handicap: LOS (-2.5) vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (+2.5) | 68% | +48% | $3K |
| 7 | Game 4 Winner | 59% | +69% | $437 |
| 8 | Any Player Penta Kill | 52% | +92% | - |
| 9 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 52% | +94% | - |
| 10 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 51% | +96% | - |
| 11 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL Upper Bracket Semifinal 2 match between LOS and KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas in the CBLOL Promotion Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This ma...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: LOS vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs will occur, with $15K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Match Winner is priced at 92%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours alone (97% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 30, 2026 at 15:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 92% probability, with $15K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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