Match Winner leads at 80%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 80% | +26% | $5K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 72% | +40% | $1K |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 72% | +40% | $1K |
| 4 | Any Player Penta Kill | 62% | +63% | - |
| 5 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 57% | +75% | $1 |
| 6 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 56% | +77% | - |
| 7 | First Blood in Game 1? | 51% | +96% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +98% | - |
| 9 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +98% | - |
| 10 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | First Blood in Game 3? | 50% | +102% | - |
| 15 | Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5) | 48% | +106% | $7K |
| 16 | First Blood in Game 2? | 48% | +108% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 44% | +125% | - |
| 18 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 41% | +144% | - |
| 19 | O/U 2.5 Games BEST VALUE | 40% | +153% | $2K |
| 20 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 40% | +153% | $4K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL Lower Bracket Quarterfinal 1 match between LOS and paiN Gaming in the Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 10 at 5:15P...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs will occur, with $19K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 80%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $19K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-11. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 10, 2026 at 15:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 80% probability, with $19K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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