The market strongly favors Game 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 1 Winner | 100% | +0% | $56K |
| 2 | Game 2 Winner | 100% | +0% | $53K |
| 3 | Match Winner | 100% | +0% | $53K |
| 4 | Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5) | 100% | +0% | $31K |
| 5 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? | 100% | +0% | $2K |
| 6 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? | 100% | +0% | $94 |
| 7 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 100% | +0% | $6K |
| 8 | Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1? | 91% | +10% | $10 |
| 9 | Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? | 91% | +10% | $10 |
| 10 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 90% | +10% | - |
| 11 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 90% | +10% | - |
| 12 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 49% | +104% | - |
| 20 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? BEST VALUE | 46% | +115% | $664 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL match between LYON and Disguised in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the m...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: LYON vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season will occur, with $210K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Game 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $209K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-07. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 06, 2026 at 23:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Game 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $210K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $210K, with $209K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms