Match Winner leads at 84%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 84% | +18% | $19K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 76% | +32% | $5K |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 76% | +32% | $6K |
| 4 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 61% | +64% | - |
| 5 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 60% | +65% | - |
| 6 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 60% | +68% | - |
| 7 | Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) | 58% | +71% | $2K |
| 8 | Any Player Penta Kill | 52% | +94% | - |
| 9 | First Blood in Game 2? | 51% | +96% | - |
| 10 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | First Blood in Game 1? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 44% | +127% | $2K |
| 18 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 42% | +141% | $4K |
| 19 | Any Player Quadra Kill BEST VALUE | 37% | +170% | - |
| 20 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 37% | +170% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL match between LYON and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 2 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the mat...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season will occur, with $40K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 84%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $40K traded in the last 24 hours alone (98% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-03. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 02, 2026 at 11:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 84% probability, with $40K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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