Match Winner leads at 74%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 74% | +34% | $1K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 68% | +46% | $22 |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 68% | +46% | - |
| 4 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 68% | +47% | - |
| 5 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 68% | +47% | - |
| 6 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 68% | +48% | - |
| 7 | Any Player Penta Kill | 61% | +64% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 51% | +96% | - |
| 9 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (+1.5) | 48% | +106% | $107 |
| 15 | O/U 2.5 Games | 40% | +147% | $21 |
| 16 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 28% | +251% | $6K |
| 17 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 28% | +264% | - |
| 18 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 28% | +264% | - |
| 19 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 26% | +277% | - |
| 20 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors BEST VALUE | 26% | +285% | $5K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL Decider match between Misa Esports and E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS in the EMEA Masters Group A, initially scheduled for June 12 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Mi...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A will occur, with $12K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 74%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $12K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-12. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 12, 2026 at 09:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 74% probability, with $12K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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