The market strongly favors Game 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 1 Winner | 100% | +0% | $408K |
| 2 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 100% | +1% | $200 |
| 3 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 75% | +33% | $15 |
| 4 | Match Winner | 74% | +36% | $250K |
| 5 | O/U 2.5 Games | 73% | +37% | $2K |
| 6 | Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs GAM Esports (+1.5) | 52% | +92% | $17K |
| 7 | Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1? | 51% | +96% | $10 |
| 8 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +98% | - |
| 9 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +98% | - |
| 10 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between Movistar KOI and GAM Esports in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 15 at 9:40AM ET. This market will resol...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C will occur, with $925K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Game 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $925K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-15. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 15, 2026 at 15:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Game 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $925K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $925K, with $925K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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