Match Winner leads at 84%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 84% | +18% | $12K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 76% | +32% | $175 |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 76% | +32% | $175 |
| 4 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 66% | +53% | - |
| 5 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 66% | +53% | - |
| 6 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 66% | +53% | - |
| 7 | Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5) | 61% | +64% | $2K |
| 8 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 52% | +94% | - |
| 9 | Any Player Penta Kill | 52% | +94% | - |
| 10 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 52% | +94% | - |
| 11 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 51% | +96% | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +98% | - |
| 13 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +98% | - |
| 14 | Odd/Even Total Kills BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | First Blood in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | First Blood in Game 1? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL match between Movistar KOI and Shifters in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 31 at 1:15PM ET. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar K...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season will occur, with $14K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 84%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $14K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 30, 2026 at 20:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 84% probability, with $14K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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