Match Winner leads at 80%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 80% | +24% | $18K |
| 2 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? | 78% | +29% | $616 |
| 3 | Game 1 Winner | 74% | +36% | $8K |
| 4 | Game 2 Winner | 72% | +38% | $2K |
| 5 | Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) | 56% | +80% | $39K |
| 6 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | First Blood in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | $588 |
| 20 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor BEST VALUE | 50% | +102% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL match between Movistar KOI and Team Heretics in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 10:15 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season will occur, with $69K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 80%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $67K traded in the last 24 hours alone (97% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 30, 2026 at 13:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 80% probability, with $69K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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