Match Winner leads at 72%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 72% | +38% | $15K |
| 2 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 70% | +44% | - |
| 3 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 70% | +44% | - |
| 4 | Game 1 Winner | 66% | +50% | $627 |
| 5 | Game 2 Winner | 66% | +50% | $185 |
| 6 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 64% | +57% | - |
| 7 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 61% | +64% | $880 |
| 8 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 59% | +69% | $51 |
| 9 | First Blood in Game 1? | 54% | +87% | - |
| 10 | First Blood in Game 2? | 54% | +87% | - |
| 11 | Any Player Penta Kill | 52% | +94% | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 51% | +96% | - |
| 13 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 51% | +96% | - |
| 14 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 47% | +113% | - |
| 19 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 44% | +127% | - |
| 20 | O/U 2.5 Games BEST VALUE | 44% | +130% | $98 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL match between Movistar KOI and Team Vitality in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 26 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movi...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season will occur, with $19K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 72%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $18K traded in the last 24 hours alone (92% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-26. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 26, 2026 at 10:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 72% probability, with $19K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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