Match Winner leads at 68%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 68% | +46% | $6K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 64% | +57% | $526 |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 62% | +63% | $96 |
| 4 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 52% | +90% | - |
| 5 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 52% | +92% | - |
| 6 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 51% | +96% | - |
| 7 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 51% | +96% | - |
| 8 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +98% | - |
| 9 | First Blood in Game 1? | 50% | +98% | - |
| 10 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | $138 |
| 15 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +102% | - |
| 16 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +102% | - |
| 17 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +102% | - |
| 18 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +102% | - |
| 19 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 50% | +102% | $138 |
| 20 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon BEST VALUE | 49% | +104% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL match between Natus Vincere and Team Heretics in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 17 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season will occur, with $16K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 68%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $14K traded in the last 24 hours alone (89% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-17. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 17, 2026 at 06:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 68% probability, with $16K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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