The market strongly favors Match Winner at 96%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 96% | +5% | $11K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 94% | +7% | $10K |
| 3 | Game 3 Winner | 92% | +9% | $2K |
| 4 | Game 2 Winner | 89% | +12% | $2K |
| 5 | Game 4 Winner | 56% | +79% | $80 |
| 6 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 56% | +79% | - |
| 7 | Any Player Penta Kill | 52% | +90% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +98% | - |
| 9 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +98% | - |
| 10 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +98% | - |
| 11 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between NightBirds and eSuba in the Hitpoint Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "N...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: NightBirds vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs will occur, with $30K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Match Winner is priced at 96%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $28K traded in the last 24 hours alone (94% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-20. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 20, 2026 at 07:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 96% probability, with $30K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms