Game 4 Winner leads at 68%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 4 Winner | 68% | +48% | $33 |
| 2 | O/U 3.5 Games | 61% | +64% | $50 |
| 3 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 52% | +94% | - |
| 4 | Game Handicap: KBM (-2.5) vs Ei Nerd Esports (+2.5) BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | $293 |
| 5 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Ei Nerd Esports and KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas in the Circuito Desafiante Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 4:...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs will occur, with $22K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Game 4 Winner at 68%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $22K traded in the last 24 hours alone (101% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-02. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 01, 2026 at 21:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Game 4 Winner at 68% probability, with $22K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms