Match Winner leads at 76%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 76% | +31% | $18K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 70% | +44% | $38 |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 70% | +44% | $5 |
| 4 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 67% | +49% | - |
| 5 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 67% | +49% | - |
| 6 | First Blood in Game 2? | 56% | +77% | - |
| 7 | First Blood in Game 1? | 56% | +79% | - |
| 8 | Any Player Penta Kill | 56% | +80% | - |
| 9 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 55% | +83% | - |
| 10 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 54% | +87% | $2K |
| 11 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 53% | +89% | - |
| 12 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 53% | +89% | - |
| 13 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 52% | +92% | - |
| 14 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 51% | +96% | - |
| 15 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5) BEST VALUE | 50% | +102% | $19K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL match between Nongshim Red Force and DN SOOPers in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 8 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group will occur, with $38K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 76%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $38K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-08. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 07, 2026 at 23:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 76% probability, with $38K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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