Game 1 Winner leads at 65%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 1 Winner | 65% | +54% | $203 |
| 2 | Match Winner | 64% | +56% | $33K |
| 3 | O/U 3.5 Games | 57% | +74% | $346 |
| 4 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 52% | +92% | - |
| 5 | Any Player Penta Kill | 52% | +92% | - |
| 6 | Game 2 Winner | 52% | +94% | $10 |
| 7 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 51% | +96% | - |
| 8 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 51% | +96% | - |
| 9 | Game 3 Winner | 50% | +98% | - |
| 10 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between Pyramid IV Esports and JSK Esports in the Arabian League Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This mark...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Pyramid IV Esports vs JSK Esports (BO5) - Arabian League Playoffs will occur, with $33K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Game 1 Winner at 65%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $33K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-16. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 16, 2026 at 15:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Game 1 Winner at 65% probability, with $33K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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