Match Winner leads at 74%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 74% | +34% | $12K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 68% | +48% | $2K |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 68% | +48% | $2K |
| 4 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 51% | +96% | - |
| 5 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 51% | +96% | - |
| 6 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 51% | +96% | - |
| 7 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +98% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +98% | - |
| 9 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +98% | - |
| 10 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +102% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 49% | +104% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 49% | +104% | - |
| 18 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 48% | +106% | - |
| 19 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 48% | +106% | - |
| 20 | Any Player Penta Kill BEST VALUE | 48% | +108% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between RMD Gaming and RED Academy in the Circuito Desafiante Play-In, initially scheduled for August 11 at 7:00PM ET. This market will res...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: RMD Gaming vs RED Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Play-In will occur, with $18K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 74%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours alone (96% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-12. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 11, 2026 at 11:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 74% probability, with $18K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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