The market strongly favors Match Winner at 88%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 88% | +13% | $32K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 76% | +32% | $3K |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 72% | +40% | $3K |
| 4 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 66% | +52% | - |
| 5 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 66% | +52% | - |
| 6 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 52% | +90% | - |
| 7 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 52% | +92% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 52% | +94% | - |
| 9 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 44% | +127% | - |
| 14 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 28% | +264% | - |
| 15 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 28% | +264% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 27% | +270% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 27% | +270% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 26% | +277% | - |
| 19 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 26% | +277% | - |
| 20 | Any Player Penta Kill BEST VALUE | 26% | +292% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL Round 3 match between The Ruddy Sack and Deer Gaming in the NLC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 3 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "The Ruddy Sac...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Deer Gaming (BO3) - NLC Regular Season will occur, with $39K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Match Winner is priced at 88%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $39K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-04. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 03, 2026 at 14:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 88% probability, with $39K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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