The market strongly favors Match Winner at 86%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
Low Liquidity — trade with caution| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 86% | +17% | $7K |
| 2 | Game 2 Winner | 72% | +38% | $229 |
| 3 | Game 1 Winner | 72% | +40% | $229 |
| 4 | Game 3 Winner | 71% | +41% | - |
| 5 | Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5) | 66% | +50% | $607 |
| 6 | Game 4 Winner | 64% | +57% | - |
| 7 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 62% | +60% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 62% | +60% | - |
| 9 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 62% | +60% | - |
| 10 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 62% | +63% | - |
| 11 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 62% | +63% | - |
| 12 | O/U 3.5 Games | 60% | +65% | - |
| 13 | Any Player Penta Kill | 58% | +71% | - |
| 14 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 53% | +89% | - |
| 15 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 52% | +90% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 52% | +94% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 51% | +96% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 51% | +96% | - |
| 19 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 51% | +96% | - |
| 20 | Any Player Penta Kill BEST VALUE | 50% | +98% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL Semifinal 1 match between Solary and UCAM Esports Club in the EMEA Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 14 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Solary"...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs will occur, with $8K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Match Winner is priced at 86%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $8K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-14. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 14, 2026 at 06:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 86% probability, with $8K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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