The market strongly favors Match Winner at 86%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 86% | +17% | $4K |
| 2 | Game 2 Winner | 80% | +24% | $5K |
| 3 | Game 1 Winner | 80% | +26% | $1K |
| 4 | Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs Vitality.Bee (+1.5) | 61% | +64% | $2K |
| 5 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 54% | +85% | - |
| 6 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 52% | +94% | - |
| 7 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 52% | +94% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 51% | +96% | - |
| 9 | Any Player Penta Kill | 51% | +96% | - |
| 10 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 51% | +96% | - |
| 11 | Any Player Penta Kill | 51% | +96% | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 51% | +96% | - |
| 13 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +98% | - |
| 14 | First Blood in Game 2? | 50% | +98% | - |
| 15 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon BEST VALUE | 49% | +104% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Solary and Vitality.Bee in the LFL Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 12 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Sola...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Solary vs Vitality.Bee (BO3) - LFL Playoffs will occur, with $15K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Match Winner is priced at 86%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-14. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 13, 2026 at 10:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 86% probability, with $15K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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