The market strongly favors Match Winner at 96%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 96% | +4% | $3K |
| 2 | Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs Valerion (+1.5) | 88% | +13% | $260 |
| 3 | Game 1 Winner | 88% | +14% | $796 |
| 4 | Game 2 Winner | 86% | +17% | $77 |
| 5 | Game 3 Winner | 86% | +17% | $60 |
| 6 | Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs Valerion (+2.5) | 69% | +45% | $20K |
| 7 | Game 4 Winner | 67% | +49% | $1K |
| 8 | Any Player Penta Kill | 52% | +90% | - |
| 9 | First Blood in Game 1? | 52% | +92% | - |
| 10 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 52% | +94% | - |
| 11 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL Round of 16 match between Solary and Valerion in the EMEA Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Solary"...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Solary vs Valerion (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs will occur, with $31K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Match Winner is priced at 96%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $31K traded in the last 24 hours alone (102% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-06. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 06, 2026 at 13:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 96% probability, with $31K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms