The market strongly favors Match Winner at 96%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 96% | +4% | $5K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 86% | +16% | $3K |
| 3 | Game 3 Winner | 82% | +23% | $27 |
| 4 | Game 2 Winner | 80% | +24% | $361 |
| 5 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 64% | +56% | - |
| 6 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 63% | +59% | - |
| 7 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 63% | +59% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 63% | +59% | - |
| 9 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 62% | +61% | - |
| 10 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 54% | +87% | - |
| 11 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 54% | +87% | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 52% | +92% | - |
| 13 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +98% | - |
| 14 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +98% | - |
| 15 | Odd/Even Total Kills BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between SU Esports and Dark Passage in the TCL Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will reso...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: SU Esports vs Dark Passage (BO5) - TCL Playoffs will occur, with $21K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Match Winner is priced at 96%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $21K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-19. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 18, 2026 at 23:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 96% probability, with $21K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms