The market strongly favors Match Winner at 86%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 86% | +16% | $59K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 73% | +37% | $2K |
| 3 | Game 3 Winner | 72% | +38% | $3 |
| 4 | Game 2 Winner | 72% | +40% | $808 |
| 5 | Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) | 70% | +42% | $465 |
| 6 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 68% | +48% | $2 |
| 7 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 68% | +48% | $2 |
| 8 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 68% | +48% | $2 |
| 9 | O/U 3.5 Games | 62% | +63% | $516 |
| 10 | Any Player Penta Kill | 60% | +67% | - |
| 11 | Game 4 Winner | 60% | +67% | $190 |
| 12 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 52% | +92% | - |
| 13 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 52% | +92% | - |
| 14 | First Blood in Game 3? | 52% | +94% | - |
| 15 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 51% | +96% | - |
| 16 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 51% | +96% | - |
| 17 | Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? | 51% | +96% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +98% | - |
| 19 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +98% | - |
| 20 | First Blood in Game 1? BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between T1 and Karmine Corp in the Mid-Season Invitational Play-In, initially scheduled for June 28 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In will occur, with $70K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Match Winner is priced at 86%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $70K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-29. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 28, 2026 at 13:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 86% probability, with $70K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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