The market strongly favors First Blood in Game 1? at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
High Volume — $6.3M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | First Blood in Game 1? | 100% | - | $929 |
| 2 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 100% | - | $8K |
| 3 | Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? | 100% | - | $176 |
| 4 | Match Winner | 100% | - | $1.6M |
| 5 | Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) | 100% | - | $133K |
| 6 | Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) | 100% | - | $322K |
| 7 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% | - | $19 |
| 8 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% | - | $11 |
| 9 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% | - | - |
| 10 | Game 1 Winner | 100% | - | $1.6M |
| 11 | Game 2 Winner | 100% | - | $1.6M |
| 12 | Game 3 Winner | 100% | - | $934K |
| 13 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% | - | $153 |
| 14 | First Blood in Game 2? | 100% | - | $548 |
| 15 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 100% | - | $858 |
| 16 | Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? | 100% | - | $562 |
| 17 | First Blood in Game 3? | 100% | - | $752 |
| 18 | Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1? | 100% | - | $31 |
| 19 | Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2? | 100% | - | $33 |
| 20 | Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1? | 100% | - | $20 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between T1 and Karmine Corp in the Mid-Season Invitational Play-In, initially scheduled for June 28 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In will occur, with $6.3M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: First Blood in Game 1? is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
The market has seen $18K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-29. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 30, 2026 at 07:25 UTC, the leading outcome is First Blood in Game 1? at 100% probability, with $6.3M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $6.3M, with $18K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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