The market strongly favors Match Winner at 94%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 94% | +6% | $26K |
| 2 | Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5) | 87% | +15% | $310 |
| 3 | Game 1 Winner | 86% | +16% | $2K |
| 4 | Game 2 Winner | 85% | +18% | $493 |
| 5 | Game 3 Winner | 84% | +19% | $366 |
| 6 | Game 4 Winner | 62% | +63% | $1K |
| 7 | Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5) | 60% | +68% | $11K |
| 8 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 56% | +77% | - |
| 9 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 56% | +79% | - |
| 10 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 56% | +79% | - |
| 11 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 55% | +82% | - |
| 12 | Any Player Penta Kill | 54% | +87% | - |
| 13 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 52% | +90% | - |
| 14 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 52% | +94% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 52% | +94% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 51% | +96% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 51% | +96% | - |
| 18 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 51% | +96% | - |
| 19 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 51% | +96% | - |
| 20 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor BEST VALUE | 50% | +98% | $9 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between T1 and Team Liquid in the Mid-Season Invitational Play-In, initially scheduled for June 28 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In will occur, with $42K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Match Winner is priced at 94%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours alone (31% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-28. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 19, 2026 at 22:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 94% probability, with $42K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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