The market strongly favors Match Winner at 88%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 88% | +13% | $4K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 80% | +26% | $89 |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 80% | +26% | $95 |
| 4 | Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) | 68% | +48% | $19K |
| 5 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 63% | +59% | - |
| 6 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 62% | +61% | - |
| 7 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 60% | +65% | - |
| 8 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 56% | +77% | - |
| 9 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? | 56% | +79% | $33 |
| 10 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? | 54% | +85% | $34 |
| 11 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 52% | +92% | - |
| 12 | Any Player Penta Kill | 52% | +94% | - |
| 13 | First Blood in Game 2? | 52% | +94% | - |
| 14 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +98% | - |
| 15 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | First Blood in Game 1? | 50% | +102% | - |
| 19 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 39% | +156% | $59 |
| 20 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? BEST VALUE | 36% | +174% | $86 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL match between Team Liquid and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liqui...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season will occur, with $25K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Match Winner is priced at 88%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $22K traded in the last 24 hours alone (86% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 29, 2026 at 18:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 88% probability, with $25K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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