The market strongly favors Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 90%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 90% | +11% | - |
| 2 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 90% | +11% | - |
| 3 | Game 4 Winner | 50% | +98% | $6 |
| 4 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between Team Solid and RMD Gaming in the Circuito Desafiante Play-In, initially scheduled for August 12 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Team Solid vs RMD Gaming (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Play-In will occur, with $73K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Both Teams Slay a Dragon is priced at 90%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $73K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-13. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 12, 2026 at 22:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 90% probability, with $73K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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