Match Winner leads at 80%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 80% | +24% | $9K |
| 2 | Game 4 Winner | 74% | +35% | $554 |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 72% | +40% | $785 |
| 4 | Game 3 Winner | 71% | +41% | $479 |
| 5 | Game 1 Winner | 70% | +43% | $872 |
| 6 | Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster (+1.5) | 64% | +55% | $636 |
| 7 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 63% | +59% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 63% | +59% | - |
| 9 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 63% | +59% | - |
| 10 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 62% | +61% | - |
| 11 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 62% | +61% | - |
| 12 | O/U 3.5 Games | 62% | +63% | $6K |
| 13 | First Blood in Game 3? | 55% | +83% | - |
| 14 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 54% | +87% | - |
| 15 | First Blood in Game 4? | 53% | +89% | - |
| 16 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 53% | +89% | - |
| 17 | First Blood in Game 1? BEST VALUE | 52% | +90% | - |
| 18 | First Blood in Game 2? | 52% | +90% | - |
| 19 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 52% | +90% | - |
| 20 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 52% | +90% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Team Secret Whales and CTBC Flying Oyster in the LCP Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Playoffs will occur, with $20K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 80%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $20K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 30, 2026 at 05:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 80% probability, with $20K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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