The market strongly favors Game Handicap: MKF (-1.5) vs UB Alma Mater (+1.5) at 96%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game Handicap: MKF (-1.5) vs UB Alma Mater (+1.5) | 96% | +4% | $1K |
| 2 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | O/U 2.5 Games | 4% | +2400% | $114 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL match between UB Alma Mater and Movistar KOI Fénix in the LES Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 4 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "UB Alma Mater...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: UB Alma Mater vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Regular Season will occur, with $30K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Game Handicap: MKF (-1.5) vs UB Alma Mater (+1.5) is priced at 96%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $19K traded in the last 24 hours alone (64% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-04. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 04, 2026 at 15:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Game Handicap: MKF (-1.5) vs UB Alma Mater (+1.5) at 96% probability, with $30K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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