Match Winner leads at 74%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 74% | +34% | $11K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 68% | +48% | $3K |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 66% | +50% | $1K |
| 4 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 61% | +64% | - |
| 5 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 60% | +67% | - |
| 6 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 60% | +67% | - |
| 7 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 60% | +68% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 57% | +74% | - |
| 9 | First Blood in Game 2? | 53% | +89% | - |
| 10 | First Blood in Game 1? | 53% | +89% | - |
| 11 | Any Player Penta Kill | 52% | +94% | - |
| 12 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | $83 |
| 14 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) | 48% | +106% | $4K |
| 19 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 46% | +115% | $283 |
| 20 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? BEST VALUE | 44% | +130% | $329 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL match between Team Vitality and Team Heretics in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 31 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Te...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season will occur, with $20K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 74%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours alone (88% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 31, 2026 at 14:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 74% probability, with $20K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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