Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? leads at 60%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 60% | +67% | $41 |
| 2 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 60% | +68% | $32 |
| 3 | Any Player Penta Kill | 52% | +92% | - |
| 4 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +98% | - |
| 5 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | First Blood in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | First Blood in Game 1? BEST VALUE | 50% | +102% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and Invictus Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for August 16 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if We...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana will occur, with $30K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 60%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $29K traded in the last 24 hours alone (97% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-16. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 16, 2026 at 08:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 60% probability, with $30K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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