Market is split — Any Player Penta Kill at 57%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Any Player Penta Kill | 57% | +74% | - |
| 2 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 53% | +89% | - |
| 3 | First Blood in Game 2? | 52% | +90% | - |
| 4 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 52% | +94% | - |
| 5 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 52% | +94% | - |
| 6 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 51% | +96% | - |
| 7 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 51% | +96% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 51% | +96% | - |
| 9 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +98% | - |
| 10 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +98% | - |
| 11 | Odd/Even Total Kills BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and Ninjas in Pyjamas in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for August 13 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana will occur, with $34K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with Any Player Penta Kill leading at just 57%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $27K traded in the last 24 hours alone (80% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-13. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 12, 2026 at 18:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Any Player Penta Kill at 57% probability, with $34K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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