The market strongly favors Tampa Bay Rays at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rays | 100% | - | $3K |
| 2 | Chicago White Sox | 100% | - | $27K |
| 3 | Milwaukee Brewers | 100% | - | $2K |
| 4 | St. Louis Cardinals | 96% | +5% | $715 |
| 5 | San Diego Padres | 94% | +6% | $2K |
| 6 | Atlanta Braves | 94% | +7% | $359 |
| 7 | Washington Nationals | 93% | +7% | $55 |
| 8 | Chicago Cubs | 92% | +9% | $906 |
| 9 | Miami Marlins | 91% | +10% | $24K |
| 10 | Cleveland Guardians | 91% | +10% | $539 |
| 11 | New York Yankees | 90% | +10% | $89 |
| 12 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 84% | +18% | $441 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Phillies | 80% | +24% | $890 |
| 14 | Boston Red Sox | 72% | +38% | $1K |
| 15 | Houston Astros | 60% | +68% | $4K |
| 16 | Texas Rangers | 39% | +156% | $9K |
| 17 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 25% | +300% | $11K |
| 18 | Colorado Rockies | 16% | +525% | $4K |
| 19 | Minnesota Twins | 10% | +852% | $419 |
| 20 | Toronto Blue Jays BEST VALUE | 8% | +1127% | $6K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the final regular season record of the listed team during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If the listed team records more than the listed number of wins, the corresp...
This prediction market tracks whether MLB: 2026 Regular Season Win Totals will occur, with $123K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Tampa Bay Rays is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Recent trading volume of $8K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-05. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 04, 2026 at 09:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Tampa Bay Rays at 100% probability, with $123K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $123K, with $8K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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