Market is split — Michael Soroka: Hits Allowed O/U 4.5 at 51%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Soroka: Hits Allowed O/U 4.5 | 51% | +96% | - |
| 2 | Corbin Carroll: Stolen Bases O/U 0.5 BEST VALUE | 50% | +98% | - |
| 3 | Dustin Harris: Stolen Bases O/U 0.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 4 | Fernando Tatis Jr.: Stolen Bases O/U 0.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 5 | Jackson Merrill: Stolen Bases O/U 0.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 6 | Jake Cronenworth: Stolen Bases O/U 0.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 7 | Lars Nootbaar: Stolen Bases O/U 0.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 8 | Xander Bogaerts: Stolen Bases O/U 0.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 9 | Michael Soroka: Hits Allowed O/U 2.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 10 | Michael Soroka: Hits Allowed O/U 3.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 11 | Michael Soroka: Outs Recorded O/U 13.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 12 | Michael Soroka: Outs Recorded O/U 14.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 13 | Michael Soroka: Outs Recorded O/U 15.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 14 | Randy Vásquez: Outs Recorded O/U 9.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 15 | Randy Vásquez: Outs Recorded O/U 11.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 16 | Jase Bowen: Stolen Bases O/U 0.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 17 | Sung-Mun Song: Stolen Bases O/U 0.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 18 | Gabriel Moreno: Stolen Bases O/U 0.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 19 | Manny Machado: Stolen Bases O/U 0.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 20 | Tim Tawa: Stolen Bases O/U 0.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Player prop markets for the MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and San Diego Padres, scheduled for September 27 at 3:10 PM ET.
This prediction market tracks whether Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres - Player Props will occur, with $20K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with Michael Soroka: Hits Allowed O/U 4.5 leading at just 51%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $20K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-27. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 27, 2026 at 18:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Michael Soroka: Hits Allowed O/U 4.5 at 51% probability, with $20K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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