1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 leads at 68%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 68% | +46% | - |
| 2 | Baltimore Orioles O/U 1.5 | 68% | +46% | - |
| 3 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 60% | +65% | - |
| 4 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 52% | +92% | - |
| 5 | O/U 7.5 | 52% | +94% | $33K |
| 6 | New York Yankees O/U 2.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 7 | New York Yankees O/U 3.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 8 | Baltimore Orioles O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Baltimore Orioles O/U 3.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 10 | Extra Innings | 49% | +104% | - |
| 11 | NRFI | 48% | +106% | - |
| 12 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 48% | +111% | - |
| 13 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 47% | +113% | - |
| 14 | O/U 8.5 | 44% | +130% | $6K |
| 15 | Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees | 42% | +135% | $729 |
| 16 | New York Yankees O/U 4.5 | 42% | +138% | - |
| 17 | Spread -1.5 | 38% | +167% | $60 |
| 18 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 35% | +186% | $4 |
| 19 | O/U 9.5 | 34% | +199% | $404 |
| 20 | Spread -1.5 BEST VALUE | 32% | +208% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and New York Yankees, scheduled for September 27 at 3:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the...
This prediction market tracks whether Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees will occur, with $40K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 68%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $40K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-04. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 27, 2026 at 00:55 UTC, the leading outcome is 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 68% probability, with $40K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms