The market strongly favors O/U 4.5 at 86%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 4.5 | 86% | +16% | $154 |
| 2 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 81% | +23% | - |
| 3 | O/U 5.5 | 76% | +31% | $24 |
| 4 | O/U 6.5 | 68% | +46% | $106 |
| 5 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 64% | +57% | - |
| 6 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 64% | +57% | - |
| 7 | O/U 7.5 | 57% | +74% | $4K |
| 8 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 53% | +89% | $61 |
| 9 | O/U 8.5 | 50% | +98% | $4K |
| 10 | Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets | 50% | +98% | $30K |
| 11 | NRFI | 50% | +100% | $2 |
| 12 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 48% | +111% | $24 |
| 13 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 40% | +150% | - |
| 14 | O/U 9.5 | 38% | +160% | $5 |
| 15 | Spread -1.5 | 38% | +167% | $142 |
| 16 | Spread -1.5 | 33% | +203% | $198 |
| 17 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 32% | +212% | - |
| 18 | O/U 10.5 | 32% | +212% | $56 |
| 19 | Spread -2.5 | 28% | +257% | $25 |
| 20 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 BEST VALUE | 26% | +285% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and New York Mets, scheduled for June 23 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. This market will...
This prediction market tracks whether Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets will occur, with $40K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: O/U 4.5 is priced at 86%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $39K traded in the last 24 hours alone (98% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 23, 2026 at 20:55 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 4.5 at 86% probability, with $40K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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