The market strongly favors Sal Stewart: Home Runs O/U 0.5 at 96%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sal Stewart: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 96% | +4% | $9K |
| 2 | Davis Martin: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 | 84% | +20% | $283 |
| 3 | Tyler Stephenson: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 83% | +20% | - |
| 4 | JJ Bleday: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 51% | +96% | $73 |
| 5 | Tyler Stephenson: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 6 | Andrew Abbott: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 | 50% | +98% | $74 |
| 7 | Eugenio Suárez: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 50% | +100% | $6K |
| 8 | Chase Meidroth: Home Runs O/U 0.5 BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Chase Meidroth: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Elly De La Cruz: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Héctor Rodríguez: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | JJ Bleday: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Miguel Vargas: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Munetaka Murakami: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 50% | +100% | $22 |
| 15 | Munetaka Murakami: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Randal Grichuk: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Sal Stewart: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Colson Montgomery: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Braden Montgomery: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Dane Myers: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Player prop markets for the MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for August 13 at 2:10 PM ET.
This prediction market tracks whether Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox - Player Props will occur, with $17K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Sal Stewart: Home Runs O/U 0.5 is priced at 96%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-13. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 13, 2026 at 19:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Sal Stewart: Home Runs O/U 0.5 at 96% probability, with $17K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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