No clear favorite. Cristopher Sánchez leads at just 16%. Many possible outcomes.
High Volume — $1.7M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cristopher Sánchez | 16% | +512% | $4K |
| 2 | Shohei Ohtani BEST VALUE | 13% | +669% | $4K |
| 3 | Paul Skenes | 3% | +2799% | $1K |
| 4 | Nick Pivetta | 3% | +3233% | $96 |
| 5 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 3% | +3290% | $521 |
| 6 | Bryce Elder | 3% | +3822% | $151 |
| 7 | Hunter Brown | 2% | +3982% | $400 |
| 8 | Garrett Crochet | 2% | +4662% | $95 |
| 9 | Taj Bradley | 2% | +5614% | $86 |
| 10 | Clay Holmes | 2% | +5782% | $88 |
| 11 | Andrew Abbott | 1% | +7307% | $489 |
| 12 | Michael Wacha | 1% | +7900% | $83 |
| 13 | Max Fried | 1% | +8233% | $92 |
| 14 | Nolan McLean | 1% | +8233% | $206 |
| 15 | Tarik Skubal | 1% | +8596% | $475 |
| 16 | Seth Lugo | 1% | +8596% | $409 |
| 17 | José Soriano | 1% | +9424% | $2K |
| 18 | Reynaldo López | 1% | +11011% | $90 |
| 19 | Carmen Mlodzinski | 1% | +11665% | $83 |
| 20 | Brayan Bello | 1% | +12400% | $89 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this...
This prediction market tracks whether MLB: ERA Leader will occur, with $1.7M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
No clear favorite has emerged — Cristopher Sánchez leads at only 16% across 20 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $1.7M traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-28. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 21, 2026 at 01:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Cristopher Sánchez at 16% probability, with $1.7M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $1.7M, with $1.7M traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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