1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 leads at 74%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 74% | +34% | - |
| 2 | Pittsburgh Pirates O/U 2.5 | 65% | +54% | - |
| 3 | Kansas City Royals O/U 1.5 | 64% | +55% | - |
| 4 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 63% | +59% | - |
| 5 | Kansas City Royals O/U 2.5 | 60% | +67% | - |
| 6 | O/U 7.5 | 56% | +80% | $12K |
| 7 | Kansas City Royals O/U 4.5 | 54% | +85% | - |
| 8 | Pittsburgh Pirates O/U 3.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Pittsburgh Pirates O/U 6.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 50% | +102% | $345 |
| 11 | Pittsburgh Pirates O/U 4.5 | 48% | +106% | - |
| 12 | NRFI | 46% | +115% | $105 |
| 13 | O/U 8.5 | 46% | +115% | $5K |
| 14 | Kansas City Royals O/U 3.5 | 46% | +120% | - |
| 15 | Spread -1.5 | 44% | +125% | $175 |
| 16 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 38% | +160% | - |
| 17 | Pittsburgh Pirates O/U 5.5 | 38% | +167% | - |
| 18 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 37% | +170% | - |
| 19 | Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BEST VALUE | 36% | +174% | $10K |
| 20 | O/U 9.5 | 36% | +174% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for September 18 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win...
This prediction market tracks whether Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates will occur, with $27K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 74%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $27K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-25. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 18, 2026 at 13:45 UTC, the leading outcome is 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 74% probability, with $27K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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