Market is split — Team D at 50%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Team D | 50% | +98% | - |
| 2 | Team A | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Team B | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Team C | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Team E | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Other | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | New York Yankees | 36% | +174% | $99 |
| 8 | Washington Nationals | 16% | +506% | $466 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 15% | +578% | $111 |
| 10 | Houston Astros | 14% | +590% | $613 |
| 11 | Chicago White Sox BEST VALUE | 10% | +852% | $163 |
| 12 | Chicago Cubs | 4% | +2400% | $51 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Phillies | 4% | +2532% | $101 |
| 14 | Atlanta Braves | 2% | +3900% | $1K |
| 15 | San Diego Padres | 2% | +4662% | $77 |
| 16 | Miami Marlins | 2% | +4778% | $62K |
| 17 | Tampa Bay Rays | 2% | +4900% | $31K |
| 18 | Cleveland Guardians | 2% | +5028% | $62K |
| 19 | Kansas City Royals | 2% | +5028% | $51 |
| 20 | San Francisco Giants | 2% | +5028% | $51 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the team that hits the most home runs during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If two teams tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the team...
This prediction market tracks whether MLB: Most Home Runs (Team) will occur, with $563K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with Team D leading at just 50%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $560K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-11. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 17, 2026 at 08:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Team D at 50% probability, with $563K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $563K, with $560K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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