No clear favorite. Walt Weiss leads at just 22%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walt Weiss | 22% | +365% | $16K |
| 2 | Clayton McCullough | 21% | +387% | $2K |
| 3 | Oliver Marmol | 8% | +1190% | $987 |
| 4 | Pat Murphy BEST VALUE | 7% | +1299% | $5K |
| 5 | Don Kelly | 4% | +2400% | $520 |
| 6 | Blake Butera | 4% | +2464% | $2K |
| 7 | Craig Stammen | 2% | +6150% | $378 |
| 8 | Tony Vitello | 2% | +6352% | $234 |
| 9 | Craig Counsell | 1% | +7592% | $537 |
| 10 | Torey Lovullo | 1% | +7900% | $95 |
| 11 | Warren Schaeffer | 1% | +12400% | $4K |
| 12 | Dave Roberts | 1% | +14186% | $845 |
| 13 | Terry Francona | 1% | +16567% | $3K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official...
This prediction market tracks whether MLB: NL Manager of the Year will occur, with $112K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
No clear favorite has emerged — Walt Weiss leads at only 22% across 13 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Recent trading volume of $13K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-19. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 20, 2026 at 17:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Walt Weiss at 22% probability, with $112K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $112K, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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