The market strongly favors Jesús Luzardo: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jesús Luzardo: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 | 100% | - | $255 |
| 2 | Jesús Luzardo: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 | 100% | - | $5 |
| 3 | Jesús Luzardo: Strikeouts O/U 6.5 | 100% | - | $95 |
| 4 | Sean Manaea: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 | 100% | - | $55 |
| 5 | Sean Manaea: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 | 100% | - | $293 |
| 6 | Sean Manaea: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 | 100% | - | $398 |
| 7 | Sean Manaea: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 | 100% | - | $292 |
| 8 | Kyle Schwarber: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 100% | - | $9K |
| 9 | Trea Turner: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 100% | - | $105 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Player prop markets for the MLB game between the New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for July 18 at 4:05 PM ET.
This prediction market tracks whether New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies - Player Props will occur, with $12K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Jesús Luzardo: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $12K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-18. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 19, 2026 at 08:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Jesús Luzardo: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 at 100% probability, with $12K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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