Market is split — 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 at 51%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 51% | +96% | - |
| 2 | Extra Innings | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 49% | +104% | - |
| 4 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 48% | +106% | - |
| 5 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 48% | +106% | - |
| 6 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 48% | +106% | - |
| 7 | NRFI | 48% | +108% | $3K |
| 8 | New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays | 48% | +111% | $13K |
| 9 | O/U 8.5 | 46% | +115% | $2K |
| 10 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 46% | +115% | - |
| 11 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 46% | +115% | - |
| 12 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 46% | +115% | - |
| 13 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 46% | +115% | - |
| 14 | Spread -1.5 BEST VALUE | 35% | +186% | $1K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for July 7 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This...
This prediction market tracks whether New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays will occur, with $19K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 leading at just 51%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $19K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-14. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 07, 2026 at 01:35 UTC, the leading outcome is 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 at 51% probability, with $19K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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