No clear favorite. Shohei Ohtani leads at just 24%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shohei Ohtani | 24% | +326% | $731 |
| 2 | Corbin Carroll BEST VALUE | 5% | +1900% | $257 |
| 3 | Ben Rice | 4% | +2310% | $453 |
| 4 | Bobby Witt Jr. | 4% | +2717% | $426 |
| 5 | Aaron Judge | 3% | +2885% | $856 |
| 6 | Juan Soto | 3% | +3746% | $316 |
| 7 | Kyle Schwarber | 2% | +4067% | $73 |
| 8 | Zach Neto | 2% | +4155% | $64 |
| 9 | Drake Baldwin | 2% | +4445% | $793 |
| 10 | Byron Buxton | 2% | +4445% | $64 |
| 11 | José Ramírez | 2% | +4900% | $94 |
| 12 | Luke Wood | 2% | +5456% | $71 |
| 13 | Yordan Alvarez | 2% | +5782% | $120 |
| 14 | Randy Arozarena | 1% | +8233% | $113 |
| 15 | Gunnar Henderson | 1% | +10426% | $370 |
| 16 | José Bell | 1% | +10426% | $71 |
| 17 | Brett Turang | 1% | +11665% | $65 |
| 18 | Dansby Swanson | 1% | +13233% | $301 |
| 19 | Francisco Lindor | 1% | +13233% | $948 |
| 20 | Mike Trout | 1% | +15285% | $259 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the player who scores the most runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the offici...
This prediction market tracks whether MLB: Runs Leader will occur, with $309K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
No clear favorite has emerged — Shohei Ohtani leads at only 24% across 20 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $300K traded in the last 24 hours alone (97% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-28. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 18, 2026 at 19:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Shohei Ohtani at 24% probability, with $309K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $309K, with $300K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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